India vs Australia: Requirements for World Test Cricket Final

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Australia vs. India: A Key Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India transcends the category of a simple sporting event; it’s a high-stakes cricket series with multiple factors at play. Beyond the inherent rivalry, this encounter holds crucial importance in the context of the World Test Championship final in June. New Zealand’s victory over the West Indies, with a score of 2-0, places them in third place in the championship table. If they manage to replicate this result against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to work hard to stay above them.

The Outlook for India

India has played four series, accumulating 360 points, which represents 75% of points. India has two series remaining in the current cycle: against Australia and England. Both are four-test series, with the same point allocation: 30 for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets the maximum points in their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. This means that India needs to exceed that 70% to secure their position ahead of New Zealand. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.
Given India’s impressive home record, they have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England. This would mean they need at least one win, or three draws, in the four tests in Australia to reach 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia by a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. The only way to reach 110 points, considering that a win awards 30 and a draw 10, is to win all four matches.

The Situation in Australia

Australia has played three series, scoring 296 points, with a percentage of 82.22. Australia needs to surpass 420 points to achieve a percentage above 70%, in case the series against South Africa is played. If the series is canceled, their goal will be to exceed 336 points. The series against South Africa, which is expected to consist of three tests, will award 40 points for a win and 13 for a draw.
Despite injury concerns, Australia is in a solid position, thanks to accumulated points. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will gain 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17. Even a 1-0 series win against South Africa would boost them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.
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