India vs Australia: Key Calculations for the World Test Cricket Championship Final

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Australia vs India: A Key Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India, already a highlight in the cricket world, takes on even greater significance as the final of the World Test Championship in June is at stake. Both teams are vying not only for victory in this series, but also for a privileged position in the overall standings. New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies, with a score of 2-0, has propelled them to third place in the table. If they manage to repeat this feat against Pakistan, both Australia and India will be forced to strive to stay above them.

India’s Outlook

India has played 4 series, accumulating 360 points, which represents a 75% effectiveness. They still have two series left in this cycle: against Australia and England, both consisting of four tests, which means the same point allocation: 30 for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand scores all possible points in their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. Therefore, India needs to exceed that 70% to secure their position above New Zealand.

To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.

India vs Australia: Key Calculations for the World Test Cricket Championship Final
Considering India’s strong home record, they have a good chance of getting all the points against England. This would mean they would need at least one win or three draws in the four matches against Australia to reach 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia with a score of 1-2, they will need 110 points in the series against England. The only way to reach those 110 points is by winning all four matches, as a win awards 30 points and a draw, 10.

Situation in Australia

Australia, for its part, has played 3 series, scoring 296 points and a percentage of 82.22. They need to exceed 420 points to reach a percentage higher than 70%, in case the series against South Africa is played. If that series is canceled, their goal will be to exceed 336 points. If the series against South Africa is contested, and is expected to consist of three tests, 40 points will be awarded for a win and 13 for a draw.
India vs Australia: Key Calculations for the World Test Cricket Championship Final
Despite injury concerns, Australia is in a favorable position thanks to the points already obtained. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17. From there, even a 1-0 victory against South Africa would take them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.
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