India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?

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Australia vs. India: A Key Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India, in itself, is a sporting event of great significance. However, with the final of the World Test Cricket Championship on the horizon for June, the impact of this encounter extends significantly for both teams.

New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies, with a score of 2-0, places them in third place in the championship table. If New Zealand repeats this achievement against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to strive to stay above them in the standings.

We analyze what this series, along with the home series against England in India, means for the qualification possibilities.

India

Series played: 4, Points: 360, Percentage of points: 75 India has two series remaining in the current cycle, against Australia and England. Both are four-match series, which implies the same point allocation: 30 points for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets the maximum points from their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a points percentage of 70%. This sets 70% as the target India must surpass to stay ahead of New Zealand.

To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can happen in two ways: if India wins five matches or if it wins four (120) and draws three (30).

India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?
Given India’s exceptional home record, they will have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England; this will mean they need at least one win, or three draws, in the four matches against Australia to reach the target of 150 points.

Yes, for example, if India loses against Australia with a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. Since a victory awards 30 points and a draw 10, the only way to reach 110 is by winning all four matches.

Australia

Series played: 3, Points: 296, Percentage of points: 82.22 Australia currently has 296 points and needs to surpass 420 to have a points percentage above 70%, if the series against South Africa is played. If that series is canceled, its goal will be to exceed 336 points. Given the expectation that the series against South Africa will be three matches, there will be 40 points at stake for a win and 13 for a draw.
India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?
Despite numerous injury concerns, Australia remains in a solid position, thanks to accumulated points. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will have 356 points and a percentage of 74.17. From there, even a 1-0 series against South Africa will propel them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.
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