India vs Australia: WTC Equations, How many wins does India need?

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Australia vs. India: A Key Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India transcends the category of a simple sporting encounter; it is a series of high relevance with significant consequences, especially in the context of the upcoming World Test Cricket Championship in June. Both teams are playing for much more than prestige in this duel.

New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies, with a score of 2-0, puts them in third place in the championship table. If they manage to replicate this result against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to work hard to maintain their position in the standings.

Analysis of India’s Possibilities

India has played four series, accumulating 360 points and a percentage of 75%. They have two series left to play in the current cycle: against Australia and England. Both are four-match series, which implies the same point allocation: 30 for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand scores all the points in their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. This sets 70% as the target India must surpass to stay ahead of New Zealand. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.
India vs Australia: WTC Equations, How many wins does India need?
Given India’s notable home record, they have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England. This means they will need at least one win, or three draws, in the four matches against Australia to reach the 150 points needed.

For example, if India loses against Australia with a score of 1-2, they will need 110 points in the series against England. The only way to achieve this, given that a win awards 30 points and a draw 10, is by winning all four matches.

Situation in Australia

Australia has played three series, scoring 296 points and a percentage of 82.22%. They need to score over 420 points to reach a percentage above 70%, in case the series against South Africa is played. If this series is canceled, their goal will be to score over 336 points. If the series against South Africa is three matches, 40 points will be awarded for a win and 13 for a draw.
India vs Australia: WTC Equations, How many wins does India need?
Despite injury concerns, Australia remains in a favorable position thanks to accumulated points. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17%. From there, even a 1-0 victory against South Africa would take them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.
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