India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?

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Australia vs India: A Key Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India is a sporting event of great magnitude, but on this occasion, the importance goes beyond individual competition. With the final of the World Test Cricket Championship on the horizon in June, both teams are playing for much more than prestige. New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies, placing them in third place in the championship table, adds pressure to Australia and India. If New Zealand maintains its performance against Pakistan, both teams will need to strive to stay on top.

India: Rating Outlook

India has played 4 series, accumulating 360 points, with a points percentage of 75%. India has two series remaining in this cycle, against Australia and England. Both are four-match test series, which means the points allocation is the same: 30 points for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets all the points from their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a points percentage of 70%. This means that India needs to exceed 70% to stay ahead of New Zealand. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.
India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?
Given India’s impressive home record, they will have a good chance of getting all the points against England. This means they will need at least one win or three draws in the four test matches in Australia to reach the 150-point target.

For example, if India loses to Australia by a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. The only way to reach 110 points is by winning all four matches, as a win awards 30 points and a draw, 10.

Australia: Current Situation

Australia has played 3 series, scoring 296 points, with a points percentage of 82.22%. Australia needs to surpass 420 points to reach a percentage above 70%, in case the series against South Africa takes place. If that series is canceled, their goal will be to surpass 336 points. The series against South Africa, which is expected to consist of three test matches, will award 40 points for a win and 13 for a draw.
India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?
Despite injury concerns, Australia is in a solid position thanks to accumulated points. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will have 356 points and a percentage of 74.17. Even a 1-0 series against South Africa would take them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need to win the series against South Africa 2-0 to stay above 70%.
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