Analysis of the 2025 Formula 1 Season Predictions
As is customary in the world of sports, Formula 1 thrives on bold analyses and predictions. Below, we break down the most notable bets for the 2025 season, evaluating their accuracy halfway through.
Verstappen and his Possible Exit from Red Bull
Speculation about Max Verstappen’s future at Red Bull was intense. The possibility of the driver seeking new horizons, even joining a team like Mercedes, was predicted. However, the reality was different. Although Verstappen’s dominance on the track and his position in the championship dismissed the idea of an imminent departure, the intrigue surrounding his future remains latent. The possibility that Red Bull will not maintain the pace in the next season could rekindle these conversations.
If Red Bull’s problems in 2024 carry over to 2025, or if doubts grow about the partnership with Ford, other teams will smell blood… Max Verstappen could see the perfect moment for a change of scenery.
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Leclerc vs. Hamilton: Who Would Win More Races?
The expectation was that Charles Leclerc, adapting more quickly to Ferrari, would surpass Lewis Hamilton in victories. Although Hamilton achieved a victory in the China sprint race, neither figure has managed to reach the top of the podium in a Grand Prix. Leclerc has proven to be superior to Hamilton in several races, but Ferrari has still not achieved the expected performance.
The original prediction suggested that Leclerc, with a faster adaptation, could capitalize with a winning car. Only a part of this prediction has been fulfilled: Leclerc has outperformed Hamilton in most of the races. Now, the possibility of Ferrari winning multiple races before the end of the year seems uncertain.
Piastri Leads the Championship
The prediction that Oscar Piastri would lead the championship before the summer break proved to be accurate. Piastri demonstrated his talent and consistency, surpassing Lando Norris. Although the prediction wasn’t that bold given Piastri’s form, it did reflect the change in expectations for the season. Norris, who was the favorite, has had ups and downs, while Piastri has shone.
Image: Oscar Piastri, on the right, leads his McLaren teammate Lando Norris in the F1 drivers’ championship in 2025.
The 2025 season has been a testament to Piastri’s talent, who has corrected his qualifying issues and shown exceptional performance. Norris’s mistakes have affected his performance, but a positive streak before the break has shortened the gap. The fight between both McLaren drivers remains intense, with Piastri maintaining an advantageous position.
Alonso and Aston Martin: Podium in Sight?
The expectation of seeing Fernando Alonso on the podium with Aston Martin has not materialized. The team has been struggling in the middle of the grid, far from the leading teams. Although Alonso has shown flashes of his former performance, Aston Martin still needs to improve its performance to compete for the podium. With the new technical team, hopes are pinned on the 2026 season.
A Winning Rookie?
The prediction that a rookie would win a race changed drastically. Kimi Antonelli and Liam Lawson were the candidates, but Lawson was relegated to the junior team. Antonelli has shown flashes of potential, but Mercedes’ only podium was for George Russell in Canada. Antonelli is the last hope for this prediction to come true.
