Alcaraz vs Sinner: Who will dominate world tennis? Analysis and future

Alcaraz Consolidates His Dominance: Conquers the 2025 US Open and Marks the Beginning of a New Era in Tennis

New York – Carlos Alcaraz celebrated his victory at the 2025 US Open effusively, defeating his rival Jannik Sinner in a final that kept fans on the edge of their seats. The match, played at Arthur Ashe Stadium before an audience of 24,000 people, consolidated Alcaraz’s supremacy in world tennis. The final on Sunday, the third consecutive between the two in a Grand Slam, was characterized by a high level of play and ticket prices that reached astronomical figures. Alcaraz took the title after a convincing victory with partials of 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 and 6-4, adding his sixth Grand Slam title. The camaraderie between Alcaraz and Sinner, despite their rivalry on the court, was evident. Both tennis players, friends off the circuit, showed respect and embraced at the end of the match, demonstrating a deep mutual admiration. Alcaraz’s victory confirms the consolidation of a new era in men’s tennis, where he and Sinner stand out above the rest. During the trophy presentation ceremony, Alcaraz joked with Sinner, highlighting how often they have faced each other.

“I see you more than my family,” Alcaraz joked during the trophy ceremony.

Carlos Alcaraz

The road to the final was not easy. Novak Djokovic, champion of 24 Grand Slam titles, acknowledged the difficulty of facing Alcaraz and Sinner. Djokovic, after his victory in the quarterfinals, anticipated a challenge in the semifinals and a possible final against Sinner. Alcaraz defeated Djokovic in the semifinals with a score of 6-4, 7-6 (4), 6-2. Djokovic, visibly affected, admitted the difficulty of competing against Alcaraz and Sinner in the Grand Slams. The 2025 season marks the first since 2002 without the presence of “Big Three” members (Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal) in a Grand Slam final. The hegemony of Alcaraz and Sinner is undeniable, having won eight consecutive Grand Slam titles since the beginning of 2024, with four titles each. The question that arises is whether any other tennis player will be able to break the dominance of Alcaraz and Sinner in the near future. Both players, aged 22 and 24 respectively, have not yet reached their full potential.

Two years ago, the idea of other players competing for titles seemed distant. At the end of 2023, Alcaraz had two major titles and Sinner had reached his first Grand Slam semi-final, but hadn’t yet won a title. Djokovic, at that time, had won three of the four Grand Slam titles of the year and was confident of surpassing the historical record for titles.

Sinner, after losing to Djokovic in the ATP Finals, acknowledged the need to improve and learn from the experience. Sinner won his first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open two months later, marking the beginning of the “Sincaraz” era. In 2025, Alcaraz and Sinner have faced each other in the last three Grand Slam finals. Alcaraz won the French Open after an epic comeback, while Sinner thwarted Alcaraz’s attempt to win three consecutive titles at Wimbledon. Other players, such as Taylor Fritz, Daniil Medvedev, and Alexander Zverev, have also participated in the finals, but have not managed to overcome the dominance of Alcaraz and Sinner. Zverev, after losing to Sinner at the Australian Open, expressed his uncertainty about whether he would ever be able to lift the trophy.

Fritz, currently number 4 in the world, acknowledged the constant improvement of Sinner and Alcaraz. He highlighted that both players have taken giant steps to become the current dominators. Other tennis players have shown flashes of potential. In the seven Masters 1000 level tournaments this year, Alcaraz has won three, while Sinner was out for four of them. Jack Draper, Jakub Menšík, Casper Ruud, and Ben Shelton have also achieved victories. Shelton, 22, has won three titles in his career, including the Canadian Masters last month, and has reached the semi-finals of a Grand Slam twice. He is currently ranked number 6. Mary Joe Fernandez, former world number 4 and analyst, believes Shelton could be a disruptor. She highlighted Shelton’s progress, but also pointed out that he still has room for improvement.

Fonseca, a Brazilian teenager, is also considered a future contender. John Isner believes that Fonseca has the best chance to challenge Alcaraz and Sinner. For now, Sinner and Alcaraz seem to be in a league of their own. There is a big difference in points between them and the world number 3, Zverev, and the rest of the players in the ranking.

During the US Open, both demonstrated absolute dominance. Alcaraz won 98% of his service games, while Sinner won 42% of his return games. Sunday’s final marked the second time in the Open Era that two men have shared all the Grand Slam titles in two seasons, matching Federer and Nadal in 2006 and 2007. In addition, they became the first pair in the Open Era to play three consecutive Grand Slam finals in the same year. Although tennis is an unpredictable sport, the current situation suggests a clear dominance of Alcaraz and Sinner in the coming years. However, as in the past, there is always room for other players to challenge the leaders and compete for the most important titles. Patrick McEnroe, former US Open quarterfinalist and ESPN commentator, predicts that Alcaraz and Sinner will dominate in the coming years, although they won’t necessarily win every title.