NFL 2025: Analysis of QBs with New Teams, Success or Failure?

Analysis of Key Quarterbacks in the 2025 NFL Season

The 2025 NFL offseason was marked by significant quarterback movements, both through free agency and trades. Several transfers captured the attention of fans and experts, redefining the league’s landscape. We analyze the performance of these players in their new teams. In this analysis, we explore the performance of five quarterbacks who changed teams: Sam Darnold, Justin Fields, Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, and Geno Smith. We evaluate their performances, highlighting the positive aspects and areas for improvement. Furthermore, we analyze the likelihood of each one remaining with their team in 2026.

Sam Darnold: Reviving His Career in Seattle

Darnold, after signing with the Seahawks, has shown an outstanding performance. His statistics position him as one of the best in the league in several categories.

• 2025 Stats: 11 touchdowns (fifth), 1,541 yards (third), 78.5 QBR (third), 70.8% completion percentage (sixth).

The positive: Darnold ranks among the best in QBR, demonstrating that his performance from the previous year was not a fluke. He leads the league in air yards per attempt and yards per attempt. His ability to throw accurate passes under pressure is one of his greatest strengths.

The negative: The Seahawks suffered defeats in which Darnold made crucial mistakes. Although he showed leadership in the victory against the Cardinals in week 4, he needs to improve his ability to perform in decisive moments. Probability of staying in 2026: 80%. Darnold has met the expectations of the Seahawks. Although his 2026 contract is not fully guaranteed, his performance could lead to an extension.

Justin Fields: Seeking His Place with the Jets

Fields’ season with the Jets has been inconsistent, raising doubts about his future on the team.

• 2025 Stats: 4 touchdowns (28th), 799 yards (29th), 36.5 QBR (29th), 65.0% completion percentage (22nd).

The positive: Fields has brought a unique dimension to the running game, with the potential to break team records. His ability to keep plays alive with his runs has been remarkable. The negative: His performance as a passer has been inconsistent, with a low QBR and difficulties making quick decisions. The Jets gave him a two-year contract to evaluate his long-term potential, but so far he hasn’t proven to be the answer. Probability of staying in 2026: 25%. The Jets could release him if his performance doesn’t improve. The player’s contractual situation gives him few guarantees of continuity.

Daniel Jones: A Successful New Beginning in Indianapolis

Jones has had an outstanding performance with the Colts, exceeding expectations and leading the team.

• 2025 Stats: 8 touchdowns (17th), 1,502 yards (seventh), 79.7 QBR (first), 71.7% completion rate (third).

The positive: Jones leads the NFL in QBR and has significantly improved his efficiency and yards per attempt. His connection with the receiving corps and coach Steichen’s strategy have been key. The negative: Ball security needs to improve, as there have been some interceptions and fumbles in recent games. Efficiency and margin of error are crucial for the team’s success. Probability of staying in 2026: 80%. His good performance and the team’s success could lead to a contract extension.

Aaron Rodgers: Adaptation and Leadership in Pittsburgh

Rodgers, after joining the Steelers, has shown leadership and adaptation, although with some limitations in the game.

• 2025 Stats: 10 touchdowns (9th), 1,021 yards (25th), 49.0 QBR (23rd), 68.8% completion rate (11th).

The positive: Rodgers has integrated well into the team, playing intelligently and being a leader for his teammates. The negative: The Rodgers-led attack lacks long passes. Although the team’s receivers excel in yards after the catch, the team needs more deep passes. Probability of staying in 2026: 5%. Rodgers has hinted that this could be his last season, although everything could change.

Geno Smith: Seeking Consistency in Las Vegas

Smith has had an inconsistent performance with the Raiders, with turnover problems that have affected the team.

• 2025 Stats: 7 touchdowns (21st), 1,350 yards (11th), 37.8 QBR (28th), 66.1% completion percentage (20th).

The positive: The team found a balance between the running game and the passing game in the victory against the Titans. Smith focused on short and intermediate passes.

The negative: Smith has committed many turnovers, including 10 interceptions in six games. He needs to improve his decision-making and reduce errors. Probability of staying in 2026: 50%. Part of his 2026 salary is guaranteed, so the Raiders will have to decide whether to continue counting on him before the season begins.