Oliveira vs. Gamrot in Rio: UFC Fight Night Predictions and Betting

Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz Gamrot: Clash of Titans in Rio de Janeiro

UFC lightweight ex-champion Charles Oliveira will face ranked contender Mateusz Gamrot in the main event of UFC Fight Night in Rio de Janeiro this Saturday. Oliveira, who is looking to regain the title, suffered a technical knockout defeat in the first round against Ilia Topuria in his last fight. The Brazilian, with an impeccable record in his country, will seek to redeem himself at home. Gamrot, for his part, has shown great performance, with four victories in his last five fights. His most recent triumph was a unanimous decision over Ludovit Klein.

Din Thomas, MMA analyst, predicts a good matchup for Gamrot due to his wrestling ability and control in the fight. Anthony Smith agrees, highlighting Gamrot’s ability to control the fight and avoid Oliveira’s submissions.

Oliveira is a great opponent for Gamrot. With Gamrot’s pace and grappling skills, this is a good matchup for him, because I don’t think he’s going to be submitted. Therefore, he can impose his will, wrestle, stay out of trouble, and wear down Oliveira for a decision. — Din Thomas

Din Thomas

Gamrot defeated Arman Tsarukyan and Oliveira lost against Tsarukyan, who is the better fighter. Oliveira has never been a guy who stops every takedown, and Gamrot has a great counter-grapple. Gamrot is able to grapple and stay out of trouble. If he couldn’t take Oliveira down, this would be a different story, because I think Gamrot would lose on the feet. But Oliveira won’t be able to stop Gamrot’s wrestling, and Gamrot will stay away from submission attempts and simply outwork Oliveira. — Anthony Smith

Anthony Smith

Betting Analysis Gamrot to win (-105). Stepping in on short notice, Gamrot is getting a career-altering opportunity against Oliveira in a Fight Night main event. Gamrot has the wrestling and pace to suffocate and frustrate Oliveira, if he can get the fight to the ground early and often. Standing, Oliveira is the better striker and has knockout power, but coming off a KO loss in June, I’m not sure his chin can take much more. Oliveira is a submission ace, but he doesn’t typically get submissions from his back, and that’s where I expect him to be for most of this fight. I’m betting on Gamrot to pull off the upset. Best bets for the rest of the card Men’s bantamweight: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Montel Jackson Jackson to win (-300): If Jackson can secure a victory in Brazil over former UFC flyweight champion Figueiredo, this could be his coming-out party. Figueiredo is coming off a loss to Cory Sandhagen, during which he suffered a knee injury, so a fight against a young and hungry Jackson may not be the friendliest matchup for him upon his return. Expect Jackson to outstrike and use his speed to pick apart Figueiredo. Heavyweight: Jhonata Diniz vs. Mario Pinto Diniz to win (-130): Unless Pinto can take Diniz down immediately and submit him or keep him on the ground for 15 minutes, it’s difficult to imagine he can beat Diniz in a striking battle. Diniz is not only the better striker, but he has fought top-level competition and won, and he won’t be surprised when his opponent tries to take him down early. Expect Diniz to defend takedowns early and keep the fight standing en route to his fourth UFC victory. Welterweight: Vicente Luque vs. Joel Álvarez Álvarez to win by KO/TKO: Álvarez will jump to the 170-pound division, and what an addition he could be. Álvarez is a complete fighter and an incredible striker with KO power. He faces veteran Luque in what should be a fun fight, for as long as it lasts. Luque will try to take Álvarez down, but I don’t think he’ll have much success, which will force him to stand and trade blows in the hope of outlasting Álvarez. Ultimately, I think Álvarez’s pressure and power will be too much for Luque, and Álvarez will get the early finish.