2025 MLB Midseason Analysis
We are at the halfway point of the 2025 MLB season. We have already passed the halfway mark of the regular season (1,215 games) and are approaching the symbolic All-Star Break. It’s time to analyze the performance of the teams, observing the changes and highlighting the most relevant stories.Below, we present this month’s Stock Watch, evaluating teams based on their position in the current competitive hierarchy. In addition, we will highlight the most important stories of each club and award the MVP awards for the first half of the season for all 30 teams.
1. Los Angeles Dodgers
Average wins: 101.4 (last month: 97.9, 3rd)In the playoffs: 99.7% (last month: 97.2%)
Champions: 24.0% (last month: 16.2%)
First Half Story: The Dodgers proved you can never have enough pitching. Despite injuries, the offense has exceeded expectations, keeping the team in a good position.First Half MVP: Shohei Ohtani (145 AXE, 1st on Dodgers, 3rd in MLB). Ohtani maintains an OPS above 1.000 for the third consecutive year and is on track to surpass his home run record from last season, in addition to looking fantastic on the mound.2. Detroit Tigers
Average wins: 97.9 (last month: 99.6, 1st)In the playoffs: 99.8% (last month: 99.3%)
Champions: 14.4% (last month: 15.6%)
First Half Story: The Tigers have had a surprising season. If it ended today, their Pythagorean win percentage would be among the top five in franchise history.First-Half MVP: Tarik Skubal (138 AXE, 1st on Tigers, 6th in MLB). Skubal is at the top of the league in wins, ERA, and strikeouts, which could lead him to win his second consecutive pitching Triple Crown.3. Chicago Cubs
Average wins: 96.1 (last month: 97.3, 4th)In the playoffs: 97.2% (last month: 96.7%)
Champions: 12.6% (last month: 12.3%)
First Half Story: Offensive explosion. The arrival of Kyle Tucker has boosted the Cubs’ offense, which is on track to exceed its run projections by a significant margin.First Half MVP: (tie) Kyle Tucker, Pete Crow-Armstrong (139 AXE, 1st and 2nd on Cubs, 4th and 5th in MLB). These dynamic outfielders share the award, highlighting the team’s offensive depth.4. Houston Astros
Average wins: 94.7 (last month: 89.5, 6th)In the playoffs: 98.5% (last month: 83.4%)
Champions: 8.9% (last month: 4.2%)
First Half Story: Despite the losses, Houston remains a contender in the American League. Pitching and the trade of Kyle Tucker have been key to their success.First Half MVP: Jeremy Pena (137 AXE, 1st on Astros, 8th in MLB). Despite a recent injury, Pena has been the best shortstop in MLB this season.5. Philadelphia Phillies
Average wins: 93.5 (last month: 88.6, 8th)In the playoffs: 93.8% (last month: 65.0%)
Champions: 7.6% (last month: 3.0%)
First Half Story: The Phillies’ pitching has been dominant, with several outstanding pitchers in the rotation.
First-half MVP: Zack Wheeler (138 AXE, 1st on Phillies, 7th in MLB). Wheeler is showing the best numbers of his career.6. New York Yankees
Average wins: 92.4 (last month: 97.3, 5th)In the playoffs: 95.8% (last month: 98.0%)
Champions: 12.8% (last month: 18.6%)
First Half Story: Despite injuries and changes, the Yankees remain competitive, with Aaron Judge leading the team.
First Half MVP: Aaron Judge (159 AXE, 1st in Yankees, 1st in MLB). Judge is having an exceptional season.7. New York Mets
Average wins: 89.4 (last month: 98.2, 2nd)In the playoffs: 75.7% (last month: 97.7%)
Champions: 3.2% (last month: 13.5%)
First Half Story: The Mets got off to a great start, but then suffered a slump. July will be a crucial month.First Half MVP: Pete Alonso (129 AXE, 1st on Mets, 18th in MLB). Alonso has been the most outstanding player.8. Tampa Bay Rays
Average wins: 88.2 (last month: 85.6, 12th)In the playoffs: 82.4% (last month: 56.9%)
Champions: 4.5% (last month: 2.0%)
First Half Story: The Rays’ offense has improved significantly, propelling the team to a better position.
First Half MVP: Jonathan Aranda (123 AXE, 1st on Rays, 42nd in MLB). Aranda has had a great season.
9. Milwaukee Brewers
Average wins: 87.5 (last month: 84.8, 13th)In the playoffs: 61.7% (last month: 34.5%)
Champions: 2.1% (last month: 0.9%)
First Half Story: The Brewers are competing thanks to a solid overall performance.First Half MVP: Brice Turang (119 AXE, 1st on Brewers, 65th in MLB). Turang stands out for his defense and base stealing.10. Toronto Blue Jays
Average wins: 86.9 (last month: 84.3, 15th)In the playoffs: 72.7% (last month: 46.2%)
Champions: 1.8% (last month: 1.0%)
First Half Story: The Blue Jays are staying afloat in the AL East. Some issues could be corrected in the future.First Half MVP: Ernie Clement (119 AXE, 2nd on Blue Jays, 63rd in MLB). Clement has been a surprise.
11. Seattle Mariners
Average wins: 85.6 (last month: 84.5, 14th)In the playoffs: 66.5% (last month: 51.1%)
Champions: 2.4% (last month: 1.9%)
First-half story: Rotation injuries have affected the Mariners, but they are still in a position to aim for a wild card.First Half MVP: Cal Raleigh (149 AXE, 1st on Mariners, 2nd in MLB). Raleigh is on pace to break the home run record for a switch hitter.12. San Diego Padres
Average wins: 85.6 (last month: 88.4, 9th)In the playoffs: 41.3% (last month: 62.0%)
Champions: 1.1% (last month: 1.9%)
First-half story: The Padres have covered the weaknesses of their lineup thanks to the talent of Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, and a dominant bullpen.First Half MVP: Fernando Tatis Jr. (131 AXE, 1st on Padres, 15th in MLB). Tatis continues to be a very valuable player.13. St. Louis Cardinals
Average wins: 85.5 (last month: 85.7, 11th)In the playoffs: 43.2% (last month: 42.1%)
Champions: 1.0% (last month: 1.1%)
First Half Story: The Cardinals have had a quick transition and have given opportunities to their internal talents.First Half MVP: Sonny Gray (118 AXE, 1st on Cardinals, 76th in MLB). Gray has led the team.14. San Francisco Giants
Average wins: 84.4 (last month: 89.1, 7th)In the playoffs: 35.5% (last month: 67.0%)
Champions: 1.2% (last month: 2.4%)
First Half Story: The Giants had a good start, but then they faltered. The arrival of Rafael Devers seeks to improve performance.
First Half MVP: Logan Webb (126 AXE, 1st on Giants, 26th in MLB). Webb continues to be a consistent pitcher.
15. Cincinnati Reds
Average wins: 82.5 (last month: 79.0, 22nd)In the playoffs: 19.4% (last month: 8.4%)
Champions: 0.4% (last month: 0.2%)
First Half Story: The Reds’ rotation has been highlighted. The team could be very exciting in the second half.First Half MVP: Elly De La Cruz (127 AXE, 1st on Reds, 25th in MLB). De La Cruz is on track to have big numbers.16. Arizona Diamondbacks
Average wins: 82.4 (last month: 81.2, 18th)In the playoffs: 20.9% (last month: 16.1%)
Champions: 0.5% (last month: 0.4%)
First Half Story: The D-backs have not met expectations due to injuries in the rotation and a weakened bullpen.First Half MVP: Eugenio Suarez (124 AXE, 3rd on Diamondbacks, 37th in MLB). Suarez has been crucial.17. Texas Rangers
Average wins: 81.1 (last month: 79.6, 21st)In the playoffs: 27.3% (last month: 18.4%)
Champions: 0.5% (last month: 0.3%)
First Half Story: The Rangers have struggled offensively.
First Half MVP: Jacob deGrom (128 AXE, 1st on Rangers, 20th in MLB). DeGrom has been a bright spot in the rotation.18. Atlanta Braves
Average wins: 80.0 (last month: 79.8, 20th)In the playoffs: 11.2% (last month: 12.6%)
Champions: 0.4% (last month: 0.4%)
First Half Story: The Braves have not met expectations. Injuries have affected the team.
First Half MVP: Matt Olson (125 AXE, 1st on Braves, 34th in MLB). Olson has been consistent.
