Kyle Tucker and Kyle Schwarber: How much will they earn in free agency?

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In the world of baseball, free agency always generates great anticipation. After the projections for Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, and Juan Soto in recent seasons, attention is now focused on two players with a promising future: Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker.

Kyle Tucker: A Gardener in the Spotlight

Kyle Tucker, with an outstanding season, has proven his worth on the field. Although his offensive numbers have slightly decreased compared to his best year, the underlying metrics suggest that he remains at the top of his game. However, a difficult streak in August and an injury have raised questions about his physical condition.
Kyle Tucker and Kyle Schwarber: How much will they earn in free agency?
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Despite these challenges, Tucker remained in the top 20 in the league in WAR, solidifying his position as a key player.

Kyle Schwarber: Power at the Plate

On the other hand, Kyle Schwarber’s season has been notable for his personal records in various offensive categories, including 50 home runs, 123 RBIs, and a WAR of 4.5. The only concern for his future in free agency is his age, as he will turn 33 in March, and his limited participation in the field in recent seasons. However, his 50 home runs put him in a unique position.

Salary Projections: How much are these Kyles worth?

We have consulted 20 experts, including scouts, executives, and agents, to get their projections on the contracts these players could obtain next season.

Kyle Tucker: The Numbers

The projections for Tucker vary considerably:
  • Less than $350 million (6): Between 8 and 11-year contracts.
  • Between $350 and $399 million (4): 8 to 12-year contracts.
  • Between $400 and $499 million (8): 10 to 12-year agreements.
  • At least $500 million (2): 10 and 12-year contracts.
The average of the projections is 10.1 years and $391.5 million, with an average annual value of $38.8 million. The median projection is $390 million. The closest comparisons for Tucker are difficult to find due to his consistent performance. However, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s contract with the Toronto Blue Jays, which begins in his age-27 season, is frequently mentioned. Tucker, who will be 29, could seek a similar deal. Regarding potential interested teams, the Los Angeles Dodgers are mentioned as a possible destination.

Kyle Schwarber: Contract Estimates

The projections for Schwarber are as follows:
  • Less than $100 million (2): 3 and 4-year contracts.
  • Between $100 and $125 million (11): 3 to 5-year agreements.
  • Between $126 and $180 million (5): 4 to 6-year contracts.
  • At least $200 million (2): 6 and 7-year contracts.
The average of the projections is 4.3 years and $131.8 million, with an average annual value of $30.7 million. The median projection is $119 million. The closest comparisons for Schwarber include J.D. Martinez, Paul Goldschmidt, and Freddie Freeman, suggesting he could get a four-year contract worth between $25 and $30 million annually. The Phillies are expected to act quickly to retain Schwarber, but he could also be a target for other contending teams looking to strengthen their lineup. A rival agent suggests that Schwarber could get a fifth year to reduce the average annual value of the contract. The competition for Schwarber could lead to a contract close to $150 million, although some teams might hesitate to invest that amount in an older designated hitter.
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