India vs Australia: WTC Requirements; 5 Key Wins for Qualification

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Australia vs. India: A Key Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India is much more than a series of matches; it’s a crucial battle with a significant impact on the landscape of the World Test Cricket championship. With the World Test Cricket Championship final in June, both teams have a lot at stake, looking beyond individual results. New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies puts them in third place in the championship table. If they achieve the same success against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to work hard to stay above them.

Analysis of India’s Aspirations

India has played four series, accumulating 360 points with a points percentage of 75%. They have two series remaining in the current cycle: against Australia and England. Both consist of four tests, which means the points allocation is the same: 30 points for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets the maximum points against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. This sets 70% as the target India must surpass to stay ahead of New Zealand.

To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.

India vs Australia: WTC Requirements; 5 Key Wins for Qualification
Given India’s impressive home record, they have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England. This means they will need at least one win, or three draws, in the four matches against Australia to reach their target of 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia by a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. The only way to reach 110 points is by winning all four matches, as a win awards 30 points and a draw, 10.

Australia’s Position

Australia has played three series, accumulating 296 points with a points percentage of 82.22%. They need to surpass 420 points to achieve a percentage above 70%, as long as the series against South Africa is played. If that series is canceled, their goal will be to surpass 336 points. Since the series against South Africa is expected to consist of three tests, there will be 40 points at stake for a win and 13 for a draw.
India vs Australia: WTC Requirements; 5 Key Wins for Qualification
Despite injury problems, Australia remains in a solid position, thanks to the points already obtained. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17%. From there, even a 1-0 series against South Africa will boost them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.
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