India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?

India and Australia: Keys to Qualification for the World Test Cricket Championship

The series between Australia and India is a major sporting event, but the importance is amplified when considering the World Test Cricket Championship final in June. Both teams have a lot at stake. New Zealand’s recent 2-0 victory over the West Indies puts them third in the championship table. If they repeat that result against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to work hard to stay above them.

India: Analysis of its Possibilities

India has played 4 series, accumulating 360 points with a percentage of 75%. They still have two series to play in the current cycle: against Australia and England. Both are four-match series, with the same point allocation: 30 for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand scores all the points against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. India needs to exceed that 70% to secure its position. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved by winning five matches, or winning four and drawing three.

Given India’s impressive home record, they have a good chance of getting all the points against England. This would mean they would need at least one win or three draws in the four matches against Australia to reach 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. The only way to reach that figure is by winning all four matches.

Australia: Current Situation and Outlook

Australia has played 3 series, scoring 296 points with a percentage of 82.22%. They need to exceed 420 points to have a percentage above 70%, if the series against South Africa takes place. If that series is canceled, their goal will be to exceed 336 points. The series against South Africa is expected to be three matches, with 40 points at stake per victory and 13 for a draw.

Despite injury concerns, Australia remains in a strong position thanks to the points already obtained. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17%. Even a 1-0 series against South Africa would take them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, they will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.