India vs Australia: WTC keys, How many wins does India need?

Australia vs India: A Crucial Duel with Major Implications

The series between Australia and India, on its own, is a major event. However, with the World Test Championship final on the horizon, there is a lot at stake for both teams in terms of qualification. New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies places them in third place in the championship table. If the “Kiwis” repeat this result against Pakistan, Australia and India will have to work hard to stay above them.

India: Rating Outlook

India has played four series, accumulating 360 points with a percentage of 75. India has two series remaining in the current cycle: against Australia and England. Both are four-match series, with the same points allocation: 30 for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets all the points from their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. India will have to surpass that 70% to secure their position. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved by winning five matches or winning four and drawing three.

Given India’s impressive home record, they have a good chance of getting full points against England. This means they will need at least one win, or three draws, in the four matches against Australia to reach their target of 150 points.

For example, if India loses to Australia by a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. The only way to reach 110 points is by winning all four matches, as a win awards 30 points and a draw, 10.

Australia: Current Situation

Australia has played three series, scoring 296 points with a percentage of 82.22. Australia needs to surpass 420 points to have a percentage higher than 70%, if the series against South Africa takes place. If that series is canceled, their goal will be to surpass 336 points. If the series against South Africa is three matches, there will be 40 points available for a win and 13 for a draw.

Despite injury problems, Australia is in a favorable position thanks to the points accumulated. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will have 356 points and a percentage of 74.17. From there, even a 1-0 series against South Africa will boost them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.