India vs Australia: WTC Equations, How many wins does India need?

Australia vs. India: A Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India transcends the category of a simple sporting encounter; it is a high-stakes series with significant consequences, especially with the World Test Cricket Championship final on the horizon in June. Both teams have a lot at stake, influencing their position in the overall standings. New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies, with a score of 2-0, places them in third place in the table. If they manage to replicate this result against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to work hard to maintain their position.

India: Rating Outlook

India has participated in four series, accumulating 360 points and a percentage of 75. They still have two series left in the current cycle, against Australia and England, both consisting of four tests. The point allocation is the same: 30 points for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets the maximum points in their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70. This means that India needs to exceed 70% to secure their position. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.

With India’s impressive home record, they have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England. This would mean they would need at least one win or three draws in the four matches against Australia to reach 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia with a score of 1-2, they will need 110 points in the series against England. Since a win awards 30 points and a draw 10, the only way to reach 110 is by winning all four matches.

Australia: Current Situation

Australia has played three series, scoring 296 points and a percentage of 82.22. They need to score over 420 points to reach a percentage above 70, in case the series against South Africa is played. If this series is canceled, their goal will be to score over 336 points. The series against South Africa, which is expected to consist of three tests, will offer 40 points for a win and 13 for a draw.

Despite injury concerns, Australia remains in a strong position thanks to accumulated points. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17. Even a 1-0 series win against South Africa would take them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need to win 2-0 against South Africa to stay above 70%.