India vs Australia: WTC Equations, How many wins does India need?

Australia vs India: A Crucial Duel with Major Implications

The clash between Australia and India transcends the category of a simple sporting event; it is a high-stakes series. In addition to the excitement inherent in the duel, the result has a transcendental importance in the context of the World Test Cricket Championship, whose final is approaching in June. New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies, with a score of 2-0, has positioned them in third place in the championship table. If they manage to repeat this result against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to strive to stay above them.

India: Rating Outlook

India has played four series, accumulating 360 points and a points percentage of 75%. He still has two series pending in the current cycle: against Australia and England. Both series consist of four tests, which implies the same point allocation: 30 points for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets the maximum points in their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a points percentage of 70%. This means that India needs to exceed 70% to stay ahead of New Zealand. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.

Given India’s outstanding track record as the home team, they will have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England. This means they will need at least one win or three draws in the four matches against Australia to reach the target of 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia by a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points from the series against England. The only way to reach 110 points is by winning all four matches, as a win awards 30 points and a draw, 10.

Australia: Current Situation

Australia has played three series, accumulating 296 points and a points percentage of 82.22%. Currently, Australia needs to surpass 420 points to achieve a percentage above 70%, in case the series against South Africa is played. If this series is canceled, their goal will be to exceed 336 points. The series against South Africa will consist of three tests, which means that 40 points will be available per victory and 13 per draw.

Despite injury problems, Australia is in a solid position, thanks to the points accumulated. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17%. From there, even a 1-0 victory against South Africa will boost them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.