Canelo vs Crawford: Key Statistics of the Epic Clash in Las Vegas

Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford: In-Depth Analysis for the Fight of the Year

The undisputed super middleweight champion, Canelo Álvarez, will face Terence Crawford in one of the most anticipated fights of recent times. The event will take place at the Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KOs), with 11 world titles in four weight categories, will seek to consolidate his legacy and maintain his undisputed status, as well as being the first to defeat Crawford. Crawford (41-0, 31 KOs) moves up two weight divisions with the ambition of being the first boxer to achieve the undisputed championship in three different categories. Canelo, known for his experience, will face a challenge similar to the one he himself experienced in 2022 when trying to win a title in light heavyweight, where he was defeated by Dmitry Bivol.

“I have more to lose than him,” Crawford declared. “Many expect him not to be as good as they think. But Canelo also has something to lose, as his career would be tarnished if a fighter moving up two weight classes beat him.”

Terence Crawford

Canelo’s size difference and experience in this division position him as the favorite, although Crawford has advantages in height and reach.

Canelo Álvarez, on the left, faces Terence Crawford for the undisputed super middleweight championship. Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images for Netflix.

We analyze some key data from this confrontation:

• 11: Crawford’s KOs in his last 12 fights.
• 75.6%: Crawford’s knockout rate.
• 61.9%: Canelo’s knockout rate.
• 9: Fighters knocked out for the first time in their career by Crawford since 2014.
• 3: Fighters knocked out for the first time in their career by Canelo since 2014.
• 3: Fights that have gone the distance with Crawford since 2014.

• 7: Fights that have gone the distance with Canelo in the last three years.
• 0: Times Canelo and Crawford have been knocked down in their careers.

Analyzing the records of recent opponents:

• 288-9-2: Combined record of Canelo’s last 10 opponents before facing him.
• 258-12-5: Combined record of Crawford’s last 10 opponents before facing him.

Canelo has faced opponents with better records in his last fights. Canelo was the first to defeat Plant (21-0), Saunders (30-0), and Munguia (43-0). Crawford has achieved KO victories over Errol Spence Jr. and Shawn Porter.

• 2 years, 2 months, 10 days: Age difference between Crawford (37) and Canelo (34).

Experience could be a key factor. Canelo has fought more than twice as many rounds as Crawford (520 to 245). Although Canelo has been more active, Crawford has received little punishment in his career.

Additional data:

• +12.8: +/- of Canelo.
• 36.1%: Canelo’s connected punch percentage.
• 7.7: Crawford’s average punches received per round.

In 41 fights, Crawford has reached the decision 10 times, with no judge ever ruling in favor of his opponent. Canelo has high punch accuracy (36.1%), but might need to be more active. Crawford has demonstrated an underestimated defense, allowing an average of 7.7 punches per round.

• 21: Combined world titles won by Canelo and Crawford.
• 1: Boxer who has won world titles in lightweight and super middleweight: Dingaan “The Rose” Thobela.