Week 6 of the 2025 NFL season is here! At Alofoke Deportes, our analysts offer you the most complete information so you are aware of everything before Sunday’s action.
Here’s what’s most important:
Key statistical trends.
“Sleepers” for Fantasy Football.
Potential upsets in the matches.
The week’s favorite bet.
Will Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold have another great performance alongside his receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba? Will the Chiefs have any chance against the Lions’ play-action offense? Will Packers cornerback Xavier McKinney intercept Bengals quarterback Joe Flacco for the second time this season? And, is there value in betting on the Lions-Chiefs matchup on Sunday night? Join us to find out!
Key Statistical Trends
Can the Chiefs stop the Lions’ play-action offense?
Despite Ben Johnson’s departure to the Bears, the Lions’ offense still relies on play-action. The Lions run play-action plays 32.1% of the time this season, the second-highest rate in the NFL. This could be a problem for the Chiefs, who allow 0.48 expected points added per play on play-action passes, the most of any team in the league.
The Chiefs are allowing a 65.8% success rate on play-action plays, the second highest in the league. The Lions are expected to take advantage of this situation several times on Sunday.
Can the Bengals protect Joe Flacco from the Packers’ pass rusher, Micah Parsons?
The good news for Flacco is that he has the starting position again with Cincinnati. The bad news is that he will face Parsons, and his protection is not the best. The Bengals are in last place in the NFL with a 47.5% win block rate this season. Parsons lines up on both sides, but most often against the left tackle. In this case, he will face Orlando Brown Jr.
The only salvation here is that Flacco, even at 40 years old, is above average at avoiding being sacked, with a sack rate of 5.2% since 2021. However, that doesn’t mean Parsons won’t pursue him while he throws the ball.
How are the Jets going to move the ball against the Broncos?
The Jets want to run the ball, but they haven’t been able to do so effectively, ranking 27th in EPA per designed carry (-0.11). However, they have shined in yards before contact per run (3.7, the highest in the league). Unfortunately for New York, the Broncos allow only 1.9 yards before contact per run.
If the Jets are forced to pass the ball, the situation could worsen. The Broncos rank eighth in pressure win rate (43.0%) and fourth in EPA allowed per dropback, with cornerback Pat Surtain II leading the defense. To make matters worse, the Jets have performed worse against man coverage than against zone this season, and no team plays more man than the Broncos (64.8%). It could be a long flight back home from London for the Jets.
Ayomanor deserves another mention. Although Calvin Ridley had better fantasy numbers in Week 5 against the Cardinals, Ayomanor ranks second on the Titans with 29 targets and has scored the team’s two receiving touchdowns this season. This week, both Ayomanor and Ridley have the opportunity to shine against a Raiders defense that allows the fourth-most fantasy points per game to receivers.Mike Clay’s analysis of the Titans and Chiefs’ receivers in Week 6.Kimani Vidal, RB, Los Angeles Chargers (22.7% rostered)Hassan Haskins has been the center of attention after Omarion Hampton was added to the injured list with an ankle injury. But don’t overlook Vidal, who should have a role in Greg Roman’s offense. Haskins is expected to handle the work on early downs, while Vidal will serve as a change-of-pace back and receiving option. He also has a favorable matchup against a Dolphins defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to running backs.Sam Darnold, QB, Seattle Seahawks (20.6% rostered)Darnold was outstanding last week against the Buccaneers, finishing with 27.6 fantasy points, his best mark of the season. The Jaguars defense has been inconsistent all season and is coming off a short week after beating the Chiefs on Monday. And although Jacksonville leads the league with 10 interceptions, it has also allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game this season.Jake Tonges, TE, San Francisco 49ers (15.4% rostered)Tonges is a good option for managers who have problems at the tight end position. He has stepped up for the 49ers with George Kittle on the injured list (hamstring), accumulating 16 targets and 31.9 fantasy points in the last two weeks. Now, he faces a Buccaneers defense that has allowed the second-most touchdowns to tight ends this season. In a matchup that should have many points, Tonges should stay busy.
If you’re struggling in a superflex league, don’t overlook Gabriel. He impressed in his Week 5 debut, scoring 16.1 fantasy points against a tough Vikings defense. In Week 6, Gabriel could thrive with a more vertical passing game after focusing on short and intermediate passes, especially against a Steelers defense that allows the fourth-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
Possible Surprises
Matthew Stafford, Rams QB, will throw three touchdown passes against the Ravens.
Stafford is playing very well right now, with multiple touchdown passes in four games and three in each of the last two. Against the Baltimore defense, which has allowed 13 touchdown passes this season, Stafford could fill the stat sheet. Include him in your fantasy lineup.
Xavier McKinney, Packers CB, will intercept Joe Flacco, Bengals QB.
With his aggressive mindset when throwing the ball and a rapidly declining mobility, Flacco will force passes into tight spaces and give the Packers opportunities to regain possession. This opens the door for McKinney to make a play using his range in coverage. Flacco has thrown six interceptions this season, including one to McKinney in the Browns’ Week 3 victory over the Packers.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks WR, will surpass 100 receiving yards against the Jaguars.
Smith-Njigba has already recorded over 100 receiving yards in three games this season. Yes, the Jaguars have a very opportunistic defense with 14 recoveries, but they are allowing 250.4 passing yards per game (27th in the NFL).
Smith-Njigba is one of the best I’ve seen on video this season. It’s the way he runs routes, the competitive playing style after the reception, and his overall fit in Klint Kubiak’s offense that makes him stand out. He will start (again) this Sunday in Jacksonville.
This Week’s Favorite Bet
Under 52.5 points in the game between Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs.
Everyone wants the “fireworks game” between Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff, but that’s not the style of these teams right now. Detroit ranks 30th in dropback rate and will likely run the ball 25 or more times to control the clock. Kansas City still throws a lot, but scores at an average rate (63.2% red zone conversion rate, tied for 16th), turning volume into field goals instead of touchdowns.
None of the teams play with a real pace, as Mahomes’ offense has become dependent on scramble plays and Goff’s unit can be more methodical. On the other side of the ball, both defenses are built to yield, not to break. If this approaches 48 points, that’s the ceiling. This point total has more to do with the narrative than with the correction of data.
