India vs Australia: WTC Equations, How many wins does India need?

India vs. Australia: Battle for the World Test Cricket Championship

The series between Australia and India is a major sporting event, with significant implications for the upcoming World Test Cricket Championship in June. The current situation in the standings demands a detailed analysis of the possibilities for both teams. The recent victory of New Zealand over the West Indies team has positioned them in third place in the table. If they manage to repeat this success against Pakistan, both Australia and India will have to work hard to stay above them.

India: Analysis of Possibilities

India has played four series, accumulating 360 points with a percentage of 75%. They still have two series ahead: against Australia and England. Both series consist of four test matches, which means the points allocation is the same: 30 points for a win and 10 for a draw. If New Zealand gets the maximum points in their series against Pakistan, their total will rise to 420, with a percentage of 70%. This sets the target that India must surpass to secure their position. To achieve this, India needs at least 150 points out of the 240 available in these two series. This can be achieved in two ways: by winning five matches or by winning four and drawing three.

Considering India’s excellent home record, they have a good chance of getting the maximum points against England. This would mean they would need at least one win or three draws in the four matches against Australia to reach their target of 150 points.

For example, if India loses against Australia by a margin of 1-2, they will need 110 points in the series against England. The only way to reach this figure is by winning all four matches.

Australia: Championship Insights

Australia has played three series, scoring 296 points with a percentage of 82.22%. They need to exceed 420 points to achieve a percentage above 70% if the series against South Africa takes place. If this series is canceled, their goal will be to surpass 336 points. Since the series against South Africa is expected to consist of three test matches, there will be 40 points at stake for a win and 13 for a draw.

Despite injury concerns, Australia remains in a strong position thanks to accumulated points. If the series against India ends 2-2, Australia will add 356 points, with a percentage of 74.17%. Even a 1-0 series against South Africa would take them to 422 points, surpassing New Zealand. If they lose 1-2 against India, Australia will need a 2-0 victory against South Africa to stay above 70%.