Japanese Stars to MLB: Analysis and Possible Destinations

Japanese Stars in MLB’s Crosshairs: Analysis of Upcoming Signings

The 2025-26 MLB offseason promises to be exciting with the arrival of talented Japanese players who will seek to shine in American baseball. After being released by their respective clubs in the Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB), these athletes are ready to make an impact in the Major Leagues. Three main figures are capturing the attention of MLB teams: right-handed pitcher Tatsuya Imai, and infielders Munetaka Murakami and Kazuma Okamoto. We analyze what to expect from each in 2026 and the possible teams that could sign them.

Tatsuya Imai, Right-Handed Pitcher

At 27 years old, Imai is shaping up as a potential third starter, with a projected ERA around 3.50. Although there is some risk, Major League Baseball represents a greater challenge than the NPB. Imai, standing at 5’11”, has demonstrated notable control, with a constant improvement in his walk rate per nine innings.

His repertoire includes a fastball that ranges from 93 to 99 mph, along with a splitter and a slider that are above-average pitches. Imai’s slider, with an unusual movement, has proven to be effective, generating a high whiff rate and a low batting average against him.

Given Imai’s potential to improve his command and adaptability, teams see in him the qualities needed to make adjustments in a league with new rules and opponents. His contract could exceed nine digits, with a total estimated cost of $157 million over six years. Teams like the New York Mets, San Francisco Giants, and New York Yankees, who are usually in search of NPB talent, could be interested in his services.

Munetaka Murakami, Infielder

Murakami stands out for his power from the left side of the plate. His high exit velocity averages and his ability to hit home runs make him an attractive player. However, his strikeout rate has increased and his contact ability is low, raising doubts about his performance in MLB. Although he is projected as a first baseman in MLB, his experience in that position is limited. Murakami is expected to be a home run threat with a good walk rate, but with a low average and little value in base running or defense. His total cost is estimated to be close to $94 million, although some experts believe it will exceed nine digits. The Yankees, known for valuing exit velocity and player age, could be a possible destination. The Chicago Cubs and the Giants could also be options, as well as the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays.

Kazuma Okamoto, Infielder

Okamoto, 29, is known for leading the NPB in home runs since his entry in 2018. Although he doesn’t possess Murakami’s power, he offers a more consistent profile, which could translate into a short-term contract. With notable power and the ability to connect good pitches, Okamoto could be a consistent MLB player. His potential as a first baseman and his numbers in Japan suggest that he could be an above-average player in the Major Leagues. Its acquisition cost could be around $43 million for three years, although it is not ruled out that a team offers a larger contract. Teams like the Mets, Astros, Yankees, Padres, Phillies and Diamondbacks could be interested in Okamoto as a more economical alternative.