{"id":11929,"date":"2025-06-23T08:08:20","date_gmt":"2025-06-23T12:08:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/sin-categoria\/mlb-draft-redrafting-the-top-10-picks-2015-2024\/"},"modified":"2025-06-23T08:08:20","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T12:08:20","slug":"mlb-draft-redrafting-the-top-10-picks-2015-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/mlb\/mlb-draft-redrafting-the-top-10-picks-2015-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB Draft: Redrafting the Top 10 Picks (2015-2024)"},"content":{"rendered":"The 2025 MLB draft is just around the corner, with the first round starting on July 13th. The difficulty of this process lies in projecting young prospects, transforming 18-year-old talents into established Major League players by the age of 25.\n\nWe analyzed the last 10 drafts, from 2015 to 2024, and re-evaluated the top 10 picks. Leaving aside the two most recent drafts, whose players are still in the early stages of evaluation, only 16 of 80 top 10 picks made the re-evaluated top 10. This situation explains why teams like the Colorado Rockies, the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the Miami Marlins have struggled to move up in the standings, due to poor results in the draft.\n\nLet’s review the drafts from the last 10 years to see what the re-evaluations look like.\n\n\n

Draft 2015<\/h2>\n\n\nAlex Bregman<\/strong> is the number 1 selection in our 2015 redraft.\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • 1. Arizona Diamondbacks<\/strong>
    New selection: Alex Bregman | Original selection: Dansby Swanson
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 2. Houston Astros<\/li>\n
  • 2. Houston Astros<\/strong>
    New selection: Kyle Tucker | Original selection: Alex Bregman
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 53. Colorado Rockies<\/li>\n
  • 3. Colorado Rockies<\/strong>
    New selection: Austin Riley | Original selection: Brendan Rodgers
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 414. Texas Rangers<\/li>\n
  • 4. Texas Rangers<\/strong>
    New selection: Dansby Swanson | Original selection: Dillon Tate
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 15. Houston Astros<\/li>\n
  • 5. Houston Astros<\/strong>
    New selection: Ian Happ | Original selection: Kyle Tucker
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 96. Minnesota Twins<\/li>\n
  • 6. Minnesota Twins<\/strong>
    New selection: Walker Buehler | Original selection: Tyler Jay
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 247. Boston Red Sox<\/li>\n
  • 7. Boston Red Sox<\/strong>
    New selection: Andrew Benintendi | Original selection: Andrew Benintendi<\/li>\n
  • 8. Chicago White Sox<\/strong>
    New selection: Brandon Lowe | Original selection: Carson Fulmer
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 879. Chicago Cubs<\/li>\n
  • 9. Chicago Cubs<\/strong>
    New selection: Cedric Mullins | Original selection: Ian Happ
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 403. Philadelphia Phillies<\/li>\n
  • 10. Philadelphia Phillies<\/strong>
    New selection: Tyler Stephenson | Original selection: Cornelius Randolph
    Where the new selection was originally selected: 11<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\nOther notable players from 2015: Harrison Bader, Jake Cronenworth, Paul DeJong, Trent Grisham, Ke’Bryan Hayes, Ryan Helsley, Ryan Mountcastle, Josh Naylor.\n\n\n

    Best draft:<\/strong> Houston Astros. They selected Bregman and Tucker with the second and fifth picks, as well as eight others who made it to the majors, including Myles Straw and Patrick Sandoval. While Bregman currently has approximately 17 more career WAR than Tucker, given that Tucker is three years younger, he could end up being the best player from this draft.<\/p>\n\n\nHonorable Mention:<\/strong> St. Louis Cardinals, who selected Bader and Jordan Hicks in the third round and then DeJong and Helsley in rounds 4 and 5.\n\n\n

    Biggest bust:<\/strong> Cornelius Randolph. Considered the best high school hitter in the draft, Randolph ended up being the second high school player selected after Tucker in a first round focused on college. Randolph didn’t hit for average or power and never made it past Double-A, although he still plays professionally in the Mexican League.<\/p>\n\n\nOverview:<\/strong> This was not considered a strong draft at the time, and that has held up a decade later, with a dearth of stars and even some of the better players like Swanson, who rely heavily on defense for their value. The Astros had the second pick for not signing Brady Aiken the previous year, and Bregman was in the Major Leagues for them a year later. Tucker was chosen with their regular pick at number 5, and then they used another first-round pick to select Daz Cameron, who became one of the key players used to acquire Justin Verlander in 2017.\n\nThe strangest story of this draft came courtesy of the short-lived Tony La Russa\/Dave Stewart regime in Arizona. After selecting Swanson with the first pick, the Diamondbacks traded him and a good outfielder, Ender Inciarte (after a 5.0 WAR season), to Atlanta for Shelby Miller in December 2015.\n\n\n

    Draft 2016<\/h2>\n\n\nWill Smith is the number 1 selection in our 2016 redraft.\n\n\n
    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • 1. Philadelphia Phillies<\/strong>
      New selection: Will Smith | Original selection: Mickey Moniak
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 2<\/li>\n
    • 2. Cincinnati Reds<\/strong>
      New selection: Corbin Burnes | Original selection: Nick Senzel
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 11<\/li>\n
    • 3. Atlanta Braves<\/strong>
      New selection: Pete Alonso | Original selection: Ian Anderson
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 64<\/li>\n
    • 4. Colorado Rockies<\/strong>
      New selection: Bo Bichette | Original selection: Riley Pint
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 66<\/li>\n
    • 5. Milwaukee Brewers<\/strong>
      New selection: Zac Gallen | Original selection: Corey Ray
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 106<\/li>\n
    • 6. Oakland Athletics<\/strong>
      New selection: Shane Bieber | Original selection: A.J. Puk
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 122<\/li>\n
    • 7. Miami Marlins<\/strong>
      New selection: Tommy Edman | Original selection: Braxton Garrett
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 196<\/li>\n
    • 8. San Diego Padres<\/strong>
      New selection: Bryan Reynolds | Original selection: Cal Quantrill
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 59<\/li>\n
    • 9. Detroit Tigers<\/strong>
      New selection: Sean Murphy | Original selection: Matt Manning
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 83<\/li>\n
    • 10. Chicago White Sox<\/strong>
      New selection: Michael King | Original selection: Zack Collins
      Where the new selection was originally selected: 353<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\nOther notable 2016 players: TJ Friedl, Tony Gonsolin, Austin Hays, Josh Lowe, Nathaniel Lowe, Gavin Lux, Jesus Luzardo, Brandon Marsh, Cole Ragans.\n\nBest draft:<\/strong> Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers got Lux with the number 20 pick and then college catcher Smith with the number 32 pick, and 12 others who have made it to the majors. Gonsolin and Dustin May are two of those players and have shown flashes of success interspersed with many injuries, but both remain on the Dodgers’ roster (Gonsolin is currently injured again).\n\n\n

      Biggest bust:<\/strong> Riley Pint. A right-handed pitcher from a Kansas high school, Pint regularly reached 100 mph, hitting 102, and was considered perhaps the fastest high school pitcher of all time. The Rockies took him with the fourth pick, and some considered him to have the highest ceiling in the draft. Pint struggled to throw strikes, and although he temporarily retired in 2021, he at least managed to briefly reach the majors with the Rockies in 2023-24.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Overview:<\/strong> In a draft that lacked a clear No. 1 selection, the Phillies opted for California high school outfielder Moniak, considered the best pure hitter in the draft. He has made more than 1,000 plate appearances in the majors, but has never mastered the strike zone and has a career on-base percentage below .300.<\/p>\n\n\nHowever, it’s not the only first-round pick that didn’t go far. In fact, the top 30 picks have combined for only one All-Star appearance: Ragans, the number 30 pick, achieved it last year with the Royals. But that doesn’t mean there wasn’t talent available. The 10 players we redrafted above have combined for 18 All-Star appearances and two Cy Young awards, from Burnes and Bieber. Both were fourth-round picks, Burnes from Saint Mary’s College and Bieber from UC Santa Barbara. Burnes just underwent Tommy John surgery, though, while Bieber is recovering from his TJ surgery last year, so their career values could now be more limited.\n\n\n

      Draft 2017<\/h2>\n\n\nHunter Greene is the number 1 pick in our 2017 redraft.\n\n\n
      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • 1. Minnesota Twins<\/strong>
        New selection: Hunter Greene | Original selection: Royce Lewis
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 2<\/li>\n
      • 2. Cincinnati Reds<\/strong>
        New selection: Daulton Varsho | Original selection: Hunter Greene
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 6<\/li>\n
      • 3. San Diego Padres<\/strong>
        New selection: MacKenzie Gore | Original selection: MacKenzie Gore<\/li>\n
      • 4. Tampa Bay Rays<\/strong>
        New selection: David Peterson | Original selection: Brendan McKay
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 20<\/li>\n
      • 5. Atlanta Braves<\/strong>
        New selection: Royce Lewis | Original selection: Kyle Wright
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 16<\/li>\n
      • 6. Oakland Athletics<\/strong>
        New selection: Bailey Ober | Original selection: Austin Beck
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 34<\/li>\n
      • 7. Arizona Diamondbacks<\/strong>
        New selection: Brent Rooker | Original selection: Pavin Smith
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 35<\/li>\n
      • 8. Philadelphia Phillies<\/strong>
        New selection: Mark Vientos | Original selection: Adam Haseley
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 59<\/li>\n
      • 9. Milwaukee Brewers<\/strong>
        New selection: Heliot Ramos | Original selection: Keston Hiura
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 191<\/li>\n
      • 10. Los Angeles Angels<\/strong>
        New selection: Jose Caballero | Original selection: Jo Adell
        Where the new selection was originally selected: 202<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\nOther notable 2017 players: Shane Baz, Griffin Canning, Jeremiah Estrada, Tanner Houck, Jake Meyers, Clarke Schmidt, JP Sears, Taylor Walls.\n\nBest draft:<\/strong> Minnesota Twins. The Twins selected three players who made our top-10 redrafting list in Lewis (whom they chose with the first overall pick), Rooker (No. 35), and Ober (a 12th-round pick), although Lewis’s ranking remains more speculative with the hope that he can find a way to stay healthy and produce some offense. He hasn’t done either in 2025.\n\n\n

        Biggest bust:<\/strong> Keston Hiura. While other picks, such as McKay and Wright, were hampered by injuries, Hiura quickly reached the majors in 2019 and looked like a future star after hitting .303\/.368\/.570 in 84 games. However, many players had inflated numbers that season, and his high strikeout rate caught up with him in 2020. He has spent most of the last three seasons in the minors.<\/p>\n\n\nOverview:<\/strong> In the 2015 overview, we noted that that year’s draft class was viewed as the worst since 2000. Well, 2017 was viewed at the time as perhaps even weaker than 2015.\n\n\n

        Draft 2018<\/h2>\n\n\nTarik Skubal is the number 1 selection in our 2018 redraft.\n\n\n
        \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        • 1. Detroit Tigers<\/strong>
          New selection: Tarik Skubal | Original selection: Casey Mize
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 25<\/li>\n
        • 2. San Francisco Giants<\/strong>
          New selection: Cal Raleigh | Original selection: Joey Bart
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 90<\/li>\n
        • 3. Philadelphia Phillies<\/strong>
          New selection: Jeremy Pena | Original selection: Alec Bohm
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 102<\/li>\n
        • 4. Chicago White Sox<\/strong>
          New selection: Steven Kwan | Original selection: Nick Madrigal
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 163<\/li>\n
        • 5. Cincinnati Reds<\/strong>
          New selection: Nico Hoerner | Original selection: Jonathan India
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 24<\/li>\n
        • 6. New York Mets<\/strong>
          New selection: Logan Gilbert | Original selection: Jarred Kelenic
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 14<\/li>\n
        • 7. San Diego Padres<\/strong>
          New selection: Jarren Duran | Original selection: Ryan Weathers
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 220<\/li>\n
        • 8. Atlanta Braves<\/strong>
          New selection: Joe Ryan | Original selection: Carter Stewart
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 210<\/li>\n
        • 9. Oakland Athletics<\/strong>
          New selection: Brice Turang | Original selection: Kyler Murray
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 21<\/li>\n
        • 10. Pittsburgh Pirates<\/strong>
          New selection: Lawrence Butler | Original selection: Travis Swaggerty
          Where the new selection was originally selected: 173<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\nOther notable 2018 players: Kyle Bradish, Kris Bubic, Triston Casas, Brendan Donovan, Xavier Edwards, Ryan Jeffers, Shane McClanahan, Lars Nootbaar, Logan O’Hoppe, Drew Rasmussen, Grayson Rodriguez, Brady Singer.\n\nBest draft:<\/strong> Seattle Mariners. Could go with the Tampa Bay Rays, who showed their inclination to identify pitchers with Matthew Liberatore (first round), McClanahan (first round), Taj Bradley (fifth round), and Ryan (seventh round). The Tigers also got Mize, Skubal, and Parker Meadows. But we will go with the Seattle draft, even if it’s only two players in Raleigh and Gilbert. Given the scarcity of good catchers, Raleigh has a case as the possible number 1 pick in a redraft, especially with what he’s doing in 2025, but Skubal could be on his way to a second consecutive Cy Young award, which gives him that first pick in our redraft.\n\n\n

          Biggest bust:<\/strong> Kyler Murray\/Carter Stewart. This draft had two of the most curious results in recent draft history. Murray’s story is well known. The Athletics gave a slight surprise by selecting him ninth overall, even though he had only played one full season of baseball at Oklahoma. They gave him a signing bonus of $4.66 million and agreed to let him play one more year of college football before starting his baseball career. Murray won the Heisman Trophy that fall and abandoned baseball for the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\nStewart’s story is less well-known. A great right-handed pitcher from a Florida high school, Stewart reached 98 mph with a high-spin curveball. He was ranked No. 2 on ESPN’s draft board and No. 5 on MLB.com, and was eighth with the Braves. A wrist injury, according to reports, caused the Braves to reduce their bonus offer, which Stewart refused to sign, enrolling in community college instead. However, instead of waiting for the 2019 draft, he signed to play in Japan with the Fukuoaka Soft Bank Hawks in a six-year deal worth $6 million, becoming the first U.S.-born first-round pick to sign his first professional contract with a Japanese team.\n\nAfter some time in the Japanese minor leagues, Stewart had a sensational season in 2024, with an ERA of 1.95 in 120 innings. Along the way, he signed a two-year, $10 million extension. He has been injured so far in 2025 and hasn’t pitched, but he would still only be 27 years old when he becomes an unrestricted free agent after 2026.\n\n\n

          Overview:<\/strong> While this draft hasn’t necessarily produced a long list of great stars, the overall depth is impressive, even though the top 10 picks have been disappointing, with India leading that group with less than 7 career WAR. Mize was the number one pick without hesitation after a dominant junior season at Auburn and, after a slow start to his career and Tommy John surgery in 2022, is having his best season in 2025. The Giants would have been better off selecting a different ACC catcher than Bart (Georgia Tech) as the Mariners got Raleigh (Florida State) in the third round.<\/p>\n\n\nThe draft steal, of course, has been Skubal, a ninth-round selection from the University of Seattle. He underwent Tommy John surgery in 2016 and missed the 2017 season, although he returned to throw some bullpens before the draft. The Diamondbacks took him in the 29th round, but he returned to school. Despite reaching 95 mph, his wildness scared teams.\n\nA key to the long-term value of this draft will be the health of the pitchers. Mize, Rasmussen, and Bubic have already returned from injuries (multiple Tommy John surgeries in Rasmussen’s case). Bradish, McClanahan, and Rodriguez have yet to pitch in 2025, and Gilbert is also currently on the injured list.","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          The 2025 MLB draft is just around the corner, with the first round starting on July 13th. The difficulty of this process lies in projecting young prospects, transforming 18-year-old talents into established Major League players by the age of 25. We analyzed the last 10 drafts, from 2015 to 2024, and re-evaluated the top 10 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11930,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[2176,604,4563,3896],"class_list":{"0":"post-11929","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-mlb-draft","9":"tag-players","10":"tag-redraft","11":"tag-selections"},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11929"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11929\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alofokedeportes.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}