The arrival of Wimbledon on the tennis calendar marks a clear difference between the men’s and women’s categories. In the men’s circuit, the London tournament is usually predictable, while in the women’s, uncertainty is the constant.
In the last 20 years, only 12 players have reached the men’s final. Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic have dominated this stage, with Djokovic participating in the last six finals, winning four. However, Carlos Alcaraz has proven his worth, winning the last four Grand Slams on natural surfaces (clay or grass), making him a clear favorite.
On the other hand, the women’s scene is more diverse. Although figures like Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka, and Coco Gauff have dominated on hard and clay courts, seven different players have won the last seven Wimbledon titles. This suggests that grass is an unpredictable factor for women.
The 2025 edition promises interesting stories. Alcaraz, Djokovic, and Jannik Sinner are the main favorites in the men’s category. In the women’s draw, with Sabalenka and Gauff facing challenges and the unpredictable nature of the grass, the tournament is open.
Favorites
Carlos Alcaraz
ESPN BET Odds: +125 | Tennis Abstract Odds: 54.2%
Potential first top 10 opponent: Holger Rune (quarterfinals)
After his victory in the Roland Garros final against Sinner, Alcaraz won the tournament at Queen’s Club, demonstrating his adaptation to grass. Although comparing him to the “Big Three” (Federer, Djokovic, and Nadal) may be unfair, Alcaraz is making these comparisons inevitable. His ability to adapt and his unpredictable game make him a favorite for Wimbledon.
Jannik Sinner
Legend: Will Jannik Sinner’s tough defeat at Roland Garros affect him?
ESPN BET Odds: +190 | Tennis Abstract Odds: 6.6%
Potential first top 10 opponent: Lorenzo Musetti (quarterfinals)
Since mid-August, Sinner has an impressive record. Although he lost in Halle, Germany, his grass game is less tested than on other surfaces. His path to the final could include challenges like Denis Shapovalov, Tommy Paul, and Lorenzo Musetti. Despite these obstacles, it’s hard not to consider him a strong contender.
Aryna Sabalenka
ESPN BET Odds: +240 | Tennis Abstract Probabilities: 19.3%
Potential first top 10 opponent: Madison Keys or Paula Badosa (quarterfinals)
Sabalenka has reached the finals in many tournaments, but has lost some recently. She has reached the semi-finals in her last two Wimbledon appearances. Her path could include Marketa Vondrousova, Emma Raducanu and Madison Keys. Despite a difficult draw, Sabalenka remains a prominent player on the women’s circuit.
Novak Djokovic
ESPN BET Odds: +550 | Tennis Abstract Odds: 21.1%
Potential first top 10 opponent: Jack Draper (quarterfinals)
Djokovic, after his time at Roland Garros, where he reached the semifinals, will seek his eighth title at Wimbledon. His path could include Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper. Despite the challenges, Djokovic has the experience and the track record to go far in the tournament.
Coco Gauff
ESPN BET Odds: +550 | Tennis Abstract Odds: 8.7%
Potential first top 10 opponent: Iga Swiatek (quarterfinals)
Gauff, despite her youth, already has an impressive resume. Although she is still looking for her big moment at Wimbledon, she has proven to be a high-level player. Her path could include Sofia Kenin, Iga Swiatek, or Elena Rybakina.
Elena Rybakina
ESPN BET Odds: +550 | Tennis Abstract Odds: 5.4%
Potential first top 10 opponent: Iga Swiatek (fourth round)
Rybakina is known for her game in crucial moments. She has won four of her last seven matches against Sabalenka and has a very effective serve. Despite the challenges off the court, her level of play remains high. She could face Swiatek in the fourth round and Gauff in the quarterfinals.
Other Players to Consider
In addition to the favorites, several players could have a significant impact at Wimbledon. Iga Swiatek, despite an atypical year, is always a threat. Jack Draper, with a promising season, could surprise. Madison Keys and Marketa Vondrousova are also contenders to be reckoned with.
Other players such as Elina Svitolina, Taylor Fritz, Alexander Bublik, Barbora Krejcikova and Lorenzo Musetti could also go far in the tournament.
Naomi Osaka, Amanda Anisimova, and Ben Shelton are players to watch, along with young talents like Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien.
The 2025 Wimbledon tournament promises to be exciting, with a mix of established favorites and young prospects who will seek to make history on the London grass.
