Alcaraz vs Sinner: Who will dominate tennis? US Open analysis and future.

Alcaraz Conquers the US Open 2025: A New Dominance in Men’s Tennis

New York – Carlos Alcaraz celebrated his victory at the 2025 US Open effusively, after defeating Jannik Sinner in a final that kept the 24,000 spectators present at Arthur Ashe Stadium on the edge of their seats. The young Spanish tennis player, visibly moved, knelt on the court after securing his sixth Grand Slam title.

Before any celebration, Alcaraz approached his rival and friend, Jannik Sinner, to congratulate him. Both players, known for their intense rivalry on the court and their friendship off it, were smiling and embraced, showing great mutual admiration.

This match marked the third consecutive Grand Slam final between Alcaraz and Sinner, with ticket prices reaching thousands of dollars and the top of the world ranking at stake. Alcaraz prevailed with a resounding 6-2, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, consolidating his dominance on the circuit. Alcaraz’s victory at the 2025 US Open made it clear that current men’s tennis is divided into two categories: Sinner and Alcaraz, and the rest. “I see you more than my family,” Alcaraz joked during the trophy presentation ceremony, addressing Sinner. Previously, Novak Djokovic, champion of 24 Grand Slam titles, had acknowledged the difficulty of facing Alcaraz in the semifinals and Sinner in a hypothetical final. After Djokovic’s defeat to Alcaraz in the semifinals, the Serbian expressed his concern about overcoming Sinner and Alcaraz in the Grand Slam tournaments. This season marked the first since 2002 without a member of the “Big Three” (Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Rafael Nadal) in a Grand Slam final, evidencing the changing of the guard in tennis. Alcaraz and Sinner have won the last eight Grand Slam tournaments, demonstrating absolute dominance.

In the past, the question of whether someone else could win a Grand Slam title seemed distant. At the end of the 2023 season, Alcaraz had two major titles and Sinner had reached his first semifinal, although he hadn’t won any yet. Both showed unlimited potential, while Djokovic seemed unstoppable. Djokovic, after winning the ATP Finals of that year, expressed confidence in surpassing the Grand Slam title record. Sinner, after losing the final against Djokovic, acknowledged the need to improve. Sinner won his first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open, marking the beginning of the “Sincaraz” era. In 2025, Alcaraz and Sinner faced each other in the three Grand Slam finals. Alcaraz won the French Open, while Sinner thwarted his attempt to achieve the three-peat at Wimbledon. In the last eight Grand Slam tournaments, they have faced four other players: Djokovic, Taylor Fritz, Daniil Medvedev, and Alexander Zverev. After Zverev lost to Sinner at the Australian Open, he commented: “I don’t know if I’ll ever be able to lift the trophy.” Fritz, number 4 in the world, acknowledged the improvement of Sinner and Alcaraz. “They have taken giant steps in the last two years to become very dominant players.”

Other players have shown potential. In the seven Masters 1000 level events this year, Alcaraz has won three. Other players like Jack Draper, Jakub Menšík, Casper Ruud and Ben Shelton have also stood out. Shelton, 22, has won three titles and reached two Grand Slam semi-finals. Mary Joe Fernandez, an ESPN analyst, believes Shelton could be a threat to Sinner and Alcaraz.

Joao Fonseca, a Brazilian teenager, is also seen as a future contender. John Isner believes Fonseca has the best chance to challenge Sinner and Alcaraz. Fonseca, who debuted in the main draw of a Grand Slam this season, has yet to face either of them.

For now, Sinner and Alcaraz seem to be in a league of their own. At the US Open, both demonstrated absolute dominance. Before the final, both had won 95% of their service games. Alcaraz won 98%, and Sinner, 42% of his return games. Their matches lasted less than two hours.

The US Open final marked the second time in the Open Era that two men shared all the major titles in two seasons. Sinner and Alcaraz are the first duo in history to play in three consecutive Grand Slam finals in the same calendar year, something that hadn’t happened since Venus and Serena Williams in 2002. Medvedev, who seemed to be the successor of the “Big Three”, has struggled this year. At the moment, although Sinner and Alcaraz are the clear favorites, the future is uncertain. Patrick McEnroe, ESPN analyst, believes that Sinner and Alcaraz will dominate the coming years, although they will not win every tournament.