NHL 2025-26 Predictions: Ovi vs. Gretzky? Surprises, signings, and more.

25 Min Read

With the 2025-26 NHL season just around the corner, it’s time to make bold predictions about what will happen on the road to the Stanley Cup presentation.

How many of these predictions will come true? Risking overconfidence, possibly half. That was my hit rate on last season’s bold predictions. Seth Jones was traded. Jim Montgomery was fired. Lane Hutson was a Calder finalist. But every good news has a downside: The Sabres failed to make the playoffs, and the Hurricanes did. I didn’t say they were good predictions, just bold ones.

That being said, here are the bold predictions for the 32 NHL teams in the 2025-26 season. These informed guesses range from statistical achievements to award predictions, coach firings, and Stanley Cup playoff forecasts. Enjoy them and welcome back to hockey!
Atlantic Division

Boston Bruins

The Bruins will trade Pavel Zacha. Optimism is low in Boston for the Bruins to improve on last season’s last-place finish in the Atlantic with a points percentage of .463. Goalie Jeremy Swayman has had a suitable training camp. Key injuries from last season on the blue line have healed. David Pastrnak proved he can have a 106-point season during turbulent times that included the firing of coach Jim Montgomery and the surprising trade of captain Brad Marchand. But even if the Bruins become relevant again, they are not contenders. To become so, means finding ways to improve this roster as they did in the most recent deadline, making aggressive trades. Zacha has been a great find in Boston after being acquired from New Jersey in 2022. I’m not sure how much exchange there is between the teams that call general manager Don Sweeney that vice versa. But with two years remaining on his contract with an excellent impact on the salary cap ($4.75 million per year) and limited trade protection, he could be a coveted two-way center for a contender.

Buffalo Sabres

Rasmus Dahlin is a Norris Trophy finalist The Norris Trophy loves rookies. Ten of the last 14 defensemen voted as the NHL’s best were first-time winners. Four of the last six seasons had at least one first-time finalist: Zach Werenski (2025), Quinn Hughes (2024), Adam Fox and Cale Makar (2021), and Roman Josi and John Carlson (2020). Dahlin finished sixth in the Norris last season. He’s on the radar. The 25-year-old needs a few things to go his way to crack the top three in the Norris for the first time. Dahlin probably needs at least 70 points and to finish as a plus player. He needs the analytics community to rally around his case. And he needs voters to find greatness in his game, or sympathy for his lot in life, while playing for the Sabres.

There are other players seeking their first Norris nomination, especially Miro Heiskanen and Thomas Harley of the Stars, as well as Charlie McAvoy of Boston, perpetually at the top. But as long as Dahlin meets his goals, and with another season alongside Bowen Byram, it should be his turn.

Detroit Red Wings

Steve Yzerman fails upwards The challenge of bringing back a franchise icon to run said franchise is figuring out what to do if things go wrong. The Oilers faced that challenge for years when 1980s dynasty names like Kevin Lowe and Craig MacTavish were managing diminishing returns. The Red Wings are now facing that challenge, as Yzerman, beloved captain and three-time Stanley Cup winner in Detroit, oversees a Red Wings team that couldn’t make the playoffs with a sherpa and using Google Maps. If Todd McLellan finds a way to lead the Red Wings to the postseason for the first time since 2016 (!), Yzerman will be safe and sound. If he doesn’t, then the pressure will be on to make some kind of organizational change. The Red Wings are not going to fire Yzerman. The concept is inconceivable. Therefore, they will do what teams do in this situation: promote Yzerman to president of hockey operations and slide Kris Draper or Shawn Horcoff, both assistant general managers, into the big job. Or simply bet everything on “franchise icon as managerial savior” and hand the keys to vice president of hockey operations Nicklas Lidstrom.

Florida Panthers

Bobrovsky gets a “Marchand” deal Sergei Bobrovsky is in the final year of one of the most controversial contracts of the last decade: his seven-year deal, signed as a free agent in 2019, has an annual cap hit of $10 million. There were times when he was called a disaster. There were times when many wondered if Florida would buy him out. Then there were those three times he backed the Panthers to the Stanley Cup final, winning twice, and that criticism was drowned out by the loud beats at the Elbo Room championship parties. For a while, it seemed that Spencer Knight could succeed him, before being traded to Chicago. Daniil Tarasov, a 26-year-old recovery project from Columbus, is his backup this season. Unless the Panthers’ Goaltending Excellence Department has another move in mind, playing Bob again beyond this season seems like the best option. My prediction: he gets a contract similar to Brad Marchand’s, another 37-year-old player, which has a cap hit of $5.25 million until he turns 43. But, according to the Panthers, it wouldn’t surprise them if Bob plays well until he’s 40.

Montreal Canadiens

Kaiden Guhle earns recognition from the entire league Whenever up-and-coming prospects become contenders, there’s always a certain level of discovery from the hockey community at large. Lots of “people don’t appreciate how good this guy is!” moments. I think we’re heading for one with Guhle, a 23-year-old Canadiens defenseman. It’s not exactly a diamond in the rough, having been selected at number 16 in 2020. But he’s not always on the list of key players in Montreal like Juraj Slafkovsky or Ivan Demidov; and the blue line has more important names that get attention, such as the newly acquired Noah Dobson and current Calder Trophy winner Lane Hutson. Guhle had time with Hutson last season and could be his partner again, given how coach Marty St. Louis likes Mike Matheson and Dobson as a pair, at least in the preseason. That will raise his profile. He’s 6-3, plays physically, and could have untapped offensive potential. Alexandre Carrier compared Guhle to Jaccob Slavin, a former “people don’t appreciate how good this guy is!” That’s a good indication of how his teammates see him, and after this season, the rest of the league if the Habs keep progressing. As long as he can stay away from freak injuries. Rare is the NHL player who has an emergency appendectomy and a quadriceps laceration in the same season, but that was Guhle in 2024-25. Ouch.

Ottawa Senators

Dylan Cozens sets new career highs I didn’t hate the Cozens trade from Buffalo’s perspective, because I understood the logic behind it: turning a “maybe” into Josh Norris, an established NHL center, albeit seemingly made of porcelain. But as I pointed out, Cozens could end up on a growing list of players who leave Buffalo and immediately relocate their game elsewhere. He offered a preview last season, with 16 points in 21 games for the Sens after the trade. Most likely, in the midst of David Perron and Drake Batherson, Cozens could surpass his 68 points and 31 goals from the 2022-23 season.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning will win the Atlantic Division While Jon Cooper’s soldiers have reached the Stanley Cup playoffs for eight consecutive seasons, including back-to-back Stanley Cups and three total trips to the final, they haven’t actually finished first in the Atlantic Division since 2018-19. Blame the rise of the Florida Panthers and the regular season dominance of the Toronto Maple Leafs. But things set up well for the Lightning to take the Atlantic, as the Leafs learn about life without Mitch Marner and the dynastic Cats are without Matthew Tkachuk for a while as they keep pace after playing for the Cup in three straight postseasons.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs will retain Nick Robertson This could be Timothy Liljegren 2.0. Remember when the Leafs traded the defenseman in his sixth year with the franchise after Liljegren never really secured his place in the lineup. Robertson, a talented 24-year-old player, is also entering year 6, having signed a one-year extension before salary arbitration. He requested a trade last season. When asked recently if he still wanted to be in Toronto, Robertson replied: “Right now, I’m here.” And yet, it is there. The Leafs have him competing for time in their forward group, clearly believing he can add offense to a group that will need to generate more with Mitch Marner in Las Vegas. The obvious is that Robertson will be gone sooner rather than later. So, we’ll take the bolder path and say he finds a role and thrives enough to make everyone happy at least this season.Metropolitan Division

Carolina Hurricanes

The Cavaliers will win the Eastern Conference Look, some of my misses last season were close, and some were emphatic enough to propel a sailboat. Claiming the Hurricanes would miss the playoffs was, without a doubt, one of my worst calls, as coach Rod Brind’Amour’s team advanced to the Eastern Conference finals. This prediction is not compensation for my friends in Raleigh. I simply believe the Hurricanes have smartly built a championship team through patience and creative thinking. The Mikko Rantanen trade didn’t end up giving them Mikko Rantanen, but it added Logan Stankoven and Taylor Hall, and gave Carolina a first-round pick that helped them acquire K’Andre Miller from the Rangers. The money that would have gone to Rantanen helped pay for Miller’s new contract and the free agent contract that Nikolaj Ehlers signed to be their ultimate top-line winger who can hopefully create that extra goal they’ve needed in the playoffs. They acquired impactful veteran players and a talented next wave in forward Jackson Blake and, especially, defenseman Alexander Nikishin. They also have plenty of cap space and draft capital beyond this season for general manager Eric Tulsky to continue adding. We’ve been waiting years for the Hurricanes to play for the Cup. Maybe the goaltending still isn’t good enough, and again, this is something they can remedy. Maybe Brind’Amour’s style is still too demanding and conservative to reach the Final. Or maybe this is the season for Hurricanes hockey.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Jet Greaves takes charge in goal For the third consecutive season, Elvis Merzlikins played below expectations in goal for the Blue Jackets, with a save percentage below .900. He has kept his position thanks to a contract that Columbus cannot move: $5.4 million AAV, partial no-trade clause and two years remaining, and a lack of alternatives.

But in the last two seasons, 24-year-old Jet Greaves has shown that he is that alternative. He had a 7-2-2 record last season in 11 games, with an astonishing 14.5 goals saved above expected in that span, according to Money Puck. He has also played great hockey in the AHL. The past is not always prologue with goalies, but Greaves is the one. It’s only a matter of time before Elvis has left the net, if not the building.

New Jersey Devils

Jack Hughes plays 82 games The Devils’ star center has only played 70 games in a season once in his career, reaching a maximum of 78 games in 2022-23, when he had 99 points. If we remove that season, Jack has averaged only 58 games per campaign. Some feel Hughes is destined to be this type. Some feel he can train to avoid the danger of injuries, something Hughes disagrees with. “At the end of the day, if you’re going to the final wall at a million miles per hour, you’re going to get hurt no matter what you do in the summer,” he said last week. So, we’re making the boldest of bold predictions here with Hughes playing all 82 games… and if he does, he’s sure to become the first player in Devils history to surpass 100 points.

New York Islanders

Patrick Roy coaches his final season on Long Island When Mathieu Darche took over as general manager of the Islanders in May, he said Patrick Roy would remain their coach because “Patrick is a winner.” Last season, he wasn’t: 35 wins, 35 losses, and 12 overtime losses for a season without playoffs. When Lou Lamoriello hired Roy in January 2024, according to reports, he gave him a three-year contract that covered the rest of that season and two more. Which means Roy could be in a lame duck season for a team that will likely miss the playoffs, with a general manager eager to bring in his own guys behind the bench at some point, which is what new general managers usually do. Whether in season or in the offseason, Saint Patrick will be voted off the Island.

New York Rangers

The Rangers return to the playoffs The Rangers’ success this season entirely depends on whether the toxicity levels in the locker room have normalized. Which might be a strange thing to say when J.T. Miller has just been named captain, based on all the disaster in Vancouver, but the point is valid. The entire 2024-25 season was played under a cloud of uncertainty created by the drastic remodeling of the roster by general manager Chris Drury, including the resignation of Barclay Goodrow before trading captain Jacob Trouba, and then, finally, the beloved Chris Kreider and young defenseman K’Andre Miller.

The final result? It has reshaped the core. It will be good enough to get a return to the playoffs.

This assuming bounce-back seasons for star defenseman Adam Fox, goalie Igor Shesterkin (not bad in 2024-25, but not always dominant) and, especially, Mika Zibanejad, who regained his game on Miller’s wing at the end of last season. It also assumes the progression of impactful young players like Will Cuylle and Gabe Perreault, who can energize the lineup while free agent defenseman Vladislav Gavrikov fortifies it. And it also assumes that Mike Sullivan and his staff can fix the chaos that permeated Peter Laviolette’s tenure. You’re assuming a lot. But when I look at the rest of the division beyond the Canes, Devils, and Capitals, I assume the Rangers will be able to build a cushion of points and make the postseason cut.

Philadelphia Flyers

Flyers win Gavin McKenna draft lottery When Canadian youth phenomenon Gavin McKenna took his talent to Penn State, it became the most used joke in hockey to say that he would now be closer to the NHL team that will select him next summer: the Pittsburgh Penguins, who “miraculously” have won the lottery before when they are in their darkest hour and there is a generational player available. So, imagine, dear friends, the utter indignation and disbelief when that other NHL team in the Keystone State gets the breaks next spring. Imagine seeing the best-laid plans for the Penguins’ rebuild go up in flames at the hands of their archrivals. Imagine having the Philadelphia Flyers restored to their rightful place as one of the league’s greatest antagonists at the dawn of the Gavin McKenna era, as he joins a growing collection of talents like Matvei Michkov to make Philadelphia a perennial contender, while the Penguins wander aimlessly around the state.

Imagine all of this and shudder at the reality of it happening.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Sidney Crosby is playing somewhere in the playoffs this season I posed this theory to Crosby himself at this month’s NHL player media tour in Las Vegas. As expected, he was diplomatic. “That’s still my goal. I think it’s easy when everyone’s doing the preseason rankings and Pittsburgh is at the bottom to think, ‘Oh yeah, [we’re] going to settle for that.’ I still have the mindset that I want to go out and try to win. And I really hope we still have that mindset,” he said. “I think, maybe going younger, or going in that direction, doesn’t necessarily mean you have to lose.” It is predicted that the Penguins will finish below the 80 points they gathered last season, their third consecutive campaign outside the playoffs. Crosby hasn’t been in the second round since 2018. These are not the Washington Capitals, who returned to contention in Alex Ovechkin’s final years thanks to departing veterans opening up space on the salary cap, bold trades that paid off, and a reliable pipeline of prospects. This is a visceral demolition waiting to happen. The smart money is still on Crosby making this type of decision in the offseason, but why wait? He’ll have a good idea of the playoff picture after returning from the Olympics. There’s no need to delay as more grains of sand trickle through the hourglass: Take the advice of those around him, have that heart-to-heart conversation with general manager Kyle Dubas, and get back in the playoff spotlight, for the benefit of the NHL and his sanity, Mr. Crosby.

Washington Capitals

Ovechkin breaks another Gretzky record If Alex Ovechkin plays beyond this season in the NHL depends on how much fuel is left in the Russian Machine’s tank. As a Capitals source told me: “If he scores another 40 goals this season, why not try again?” Ovechkin scored 44 goals last season despite being limited to 65 games after breaking his leg, which is still the most absurd footnote to the Capitals star breaking Wayne Gretzky’s all-time NHL goal record. With that record shattered, there’s another Gretzky mark within breaking distance for Ovechkin: 1,016 combined goals between the regular season and the Stanley Cup playoffs. While Gretzky’s 122 postseason goals may be untouchable, Ovechkin needs 43 goals between the regular season and playoffs to surpass that mark. While he doesn’t have the same carrot in front of him as last season, Ovechkin will continue to score like Ovechkin does. And with the Capitals likely in the playoffs again, the combined total will erase another record of The Great One from the books.Central Division

Chicago Blackhawks

Frank Nazar doubles his point total Sidney Crosby had Evgeni Malkin. Connor Bedard has Frank Nazar. OK, none of those comparisons should be taken literally, because we’re not trying to crush the spines of these young Blackhawks with the weight of expectations. But from a team-building perspective, every franchise center needs their second-line star to capitalize on matchups and power-play numbers together. Tom took a bit last season, but Nazar ended up presenting a solid argument that he is that guy for Bedard, especially with his performance at the IIHF World Championships which saw him score 12 points in 10 games to lead the American team to their first gold since 1960. He had 26 points in 53 games last season for Chicago. His point total in 2025-26 should be higher than both numbers, as long as he is healthy.

Colorado Avalanche

The Avs win the Western Conference Weird last year in Denver, huh? They annihilated their goaltending at the start of the season, only to find an unexpected solution in Mackenzie Blackwood. The Mikko Rantanen trade was a shock to the system from which the Avalanche never really recovered. They went all-in at the trade deadline, acquiring players like Brock Nelson. Then, Gabriel Landeskog made his miraculous return in the playoffs… only for the Dallas Stars to eliminate the Avs in seven games. This season will be more serene… and successful: The Avalanche is going to win the West. The core of this team (Nathan MacKinnon, Landeskog, Cale Makar, and Devon Toews) remains one of the strongest in the West. Nelson gives them the second-line center they’ve lacked since Nazem Kadri went to Calgary. Martin Necas had a
Share This Article
Hola, estoy aquí para ayudarte con esta noticia!
Exit mobile version