New Zealand Advances to the Final of the World Test Cricket Championship
New Zealand’s recent victory over the West Indies has given them a real chance of reaching the final of the World Test Cricket Championship (WTC), which will be played in June 2021 at Lord’s. New Zealand finished the series very close to the number 1 position in the Test rankings: they are 0.086 points behind Australia. The victory in Wellington on Monday was a key moment. However, the news was not without drama. For several hours after the match, the ICC’s prediction tool showed New Zealand at the top of the table, causing some confusion in the cricket community. This, however, seemed to be an error because the ICC clarified in a tweet that Australia is at number 1 with 116.461 ranking points, while New Zealand has 116.375. The prediction tool later also reflected this classification. Australia will increase that slight advantage if they win the home series against India, but two wins over the West Indies took New Zealand to 300 WTC points from four series in the current WTC cycle, which ends on March 31, 2021. If they repeat the 2-0 result against Pakistan later in their summer, they will end up with 420 points from five series. This will leave India needing five wins, or four wins and three draws, from their last eight Test matches (away against Australia and at home against England) to deny New Zealand a place in the WTC final to be played at Lord’s in the English summer. In a non-pandemic world, New Zealand would also have had to go to win points in a series in Bangladesh, but because some series could not be played, the ICC had to change the criteria for qualification from absolute points to a percentage of points played. In other words, points per series played. Australia is currently at the top of the WTC table, with 82.2% of the points won.If they manage a 2-2 draw against India, they will still lead the table with a percentage of 74.17%, but if they lose 1-2, their percentage will fall to 70.
Australia is also scheduled to play a three-test series in South Africa. If New Zealand wins its two tests against Pakistan, it will finish with 84 points per series played or 70% of the points disputed. By the time India, currently with 360 points from four series played, finishes its series against Australia and England, it will have played six series or 720 points. They will need to score 504 points to surpass New Zealand’s score of 84 points per series or 70% of the points played. Each of their remaining wins in the tests will now be worth 30 points, and draws will earn them 10 points. Five wins or four wins and three draws will put them ahead of New Zealand. Regarding the rankings, depending on how the India vs. Australia series and the New Zealand vs. Pakistan series go, Australia could increase its lead in the number 1 position or concede ground to New Zealand.
